"I happen to believe in the people and believe that the people are supposed to be dominant in our society. That they, not government, are to have control of their own affairs to the greatest extent possible with an orderly society." - Ronald Reagan

Jumping to conclusions.

Posted: June 30th, 2009 | Author: | Filed under: International | 2 Comments »

Many have noted the apparent disparity between Obama’s muted response to the Iranian protests and his prompt repudiation of Zelaya’s exile from Hondurus.  Indeed, it’s puzzling and not a little troubling that the President is so quick to dismiss the ostensibly lawful actions of a foreign legislature and judiciary as a coup.

However, on reviewing his early statements on Iran, it is difficult to conclude inconsistency.  Though many summarize his stance as an aversion to “meddling”, his exact words are more nuanced: “It’s not productive, given the history of U.S.-Iranian relations, to be seen as meddling … in Iranian elections.”

He is clearly speaking to appearances in light of our prior involvement in regime change in Iran, and it isn’t a consideration to be taken lightly.   Whether one agrees with his approach, robbing it of an explicitely stated context is grossly disingenuous.

That still leaves open the question of why such a prompt and unequivocal support of the deposed leader, which many take as tacit approval of the man and his goals.  Though a consistent and at least marginally plausible explanation, it seems pat.  I suspect it actually reflects a broader emphasis on consequence over ideology; a politically cheap way of currying favour with larger powers.


2 Comments on “Jumping to conclusions.”

  1. #1 kolys said at 10:48 am on July 1st, 2009:

    Honestly, I don’t know enough about Zelaya and his policies and actions to be able to say whether Obama’s support of him is justified.

    On Iran, however… I agree that the statement regarding Iran and ‘meddling’ was disingenuous; it appears to have been carefully worded so as to preclude an absolute commitment of official recognition one way or the other. The results out of Iran do appear to have been somewhat suspicious, to say the least, but the United States obviously does not wish to lose what little goodwill it may have in the region, and as such I see Obama hedging his bets.

    It’s not pretty, but it’s tactically sound.

  2. #2 mberg said at 03:53 pm on July 1st, 2009:

    Much of the criticism focused on Obama acting contrary to what seemed a presumed non-interventionist foreign policy rather than on the merits of the Zelaya’s removal. It certainly didn’t help that most of the other pronounced support came from the likes of Chavez and Ortega.

    In terms of Iran I can understand the tactic, even though I disagree with it.


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